Workshop on Complexity and Policy Analysis
Department of Government University College Cork ETHOS Project
Institute for the Study of Coherence and Emergence, Boston
School of Public Affairs, Penn State, Harrisburg
22-24 June 2005, Cork, Ireland
Key Note Presentations:
"Playing with C.A.R.S.: Perspectives on Management and Analysis in Complex Contexts"
Graham Mathieson, dstl, UK
"Robust Policy Analysis for Complex Open Systems"
Steven E. Bankes, RAND, USA
"Systemic Intervention for Community Involvement in Complex Policy Analysis"
Gerald Midgley, ESR, NZ
We are pleased to confirm the upcoming two-day Complexity and Policy Analysis workshop scheduled in June (2005) in Cork, Ireland and hosted by The University College Cork Department of Government ETHOS Project (http://www.ucc.ie/acad/govt/ethos), the Institute for the Study of Coherence and Emergence (http://www.isce.edu), and Penn State - Harrisburg. The aim of this meeting is to explore the benefits to policy analysts that might be realized through the fledgling 'science' of complex systems.
Although the effects of policy actions on the future of society are difficult to assess in today's globalized and complex political environment, policy-makers still need to consider the long-term future when deciding how to allocate private and public resources among different policies. This predicament is an instance of decision-making in the presence of complexity and deep uncertainty. Policies framed under such conditions are highly vulnerable to failure or surprise and often made without an awareness of the emerging nature of policy arenas and their environments. One of the principle aims of this event is to discuss emerging analytic methods to help decision-makers manage the complexity and uncertainty inherent in many (if not all) policy challenges as well as to consider how larger social goals are accommodated in long-range planning.
Complexity thinking is often associated with agent-based modeling (ABM) approaches to policy analysis and decision-making. If not ABM specifically, the central role of computer simulation is often how complexity ideas are realized in policy analysis. The complexity (meta-) paradigm, however, is rather broader than the computational perspective, and this workshop will explore 'soft' applications of complexity, the relationship between `hard' and `soft' approaches, and how hybrid approaches maybe synthesized in policy formulation and research design. We are, of course, keen to have submissions from computer simulators, but it is important to note that the event is not purely an exploration of computing in policy analysis, but also seeks to ground computation in a broader conceptual and methodological base in hopes of teasing more from the new paradigm.
Full details of the event (including registration form, accomodation details, and a list of accepted papers) can be found at:
If you have other questions regarding this event please do not hesitate to contact Caroline Richardson at firstname.lastname@example.org
Kurt A Richardson
BSc(hons), MSc, PhD
MInstP, MIEE, AMIMA, AFORS